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Dark-Horse Candidates for Major NBA Awards in 2024-25


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Welcome to our exploration of dark-horse candidates for major awards for the 2024-25 NBA season - a refreshing shift from traditional team previews. Instead of defaulting to safe predictions, we're spotlighting players like Tyrese Haliburton, who could surprise everyone if the stars aligned. As we delve into these exciting, long-shot contenders, we invite you to imagine the possibilities.

After all, it's the improbability that brings the most excitement. Let's dive in and embrace the unexpected!

MVP: Tyrese Haliburton
Tyrese Haliburton might be flying under the radar for the 2024-25 MVP honor, but his potential is unmistakable. Oddsmakers might have him at 14th-best NBA odds, perhaps forgetting how he was a top-five contender last season until a hamstring injury disrupted his momentum.

Before his injury, he was dazzling with 24.2 points and 12.7 assists on impressive shooting numbers. Even after a comeback aiming to secure All-NBA eligibility, he showed flashes of brilliance.

Picture him at the helm of the Pacers high-octane offense, akin to Steve Nash's Suns days, and it's not hard to see him redefining the MVP conversation.

Defensive Player of the Year: Jalen Suggs
Jalen Suggs finds himself in a tough spot, navigating a field that traditionally favors big men for Defensive Player of the Year. Despite tying for 10th in voting last season, Suggs' odds for the 2024-25 award are discouraging.

The challenge is significant; guards like Marcus Smart and Gary Payton are exceptions, not the rule. However, Suggs has a genuine shot if the Magic climb the defensive ranks again, as they did last year.

His mastery in disrupting offenses and screening ability is stellar, and if recognition grows, he could break through with a top-five finish. A little luck with frontrunners, and Suggs might just win it.

Rookie of the Year: Kel'el Ware
Kel'el Ware's journey with the Miami Heat this season is one to watch, especially given his potential to surprise as a dark-horse Rookie of the Year candidate. Although he's not guaranteed a starting spot, this situation might actually benefit his narrative as a player who “came out of nowhere.”

Observers already glimpse his potential from his standout Summer League performance, where he averaged 17.4 points and 8.0 rebounds per game. Ware’s 7-foot frame allows him to excel at altering shots and controlling the paint. His ability to shoot threes, demonstrated by his 42.5% shooting at Indiana, could give the Heat much-needed spacing.

His energetic play style, particularly in pick-and-roll situations with dunks and cuts, will likely make him a valuable asset, even as a conventional center. If Bam Adebayo progresses as a shooter, it could unlock more dynamic double-big lineups, enhancing Ware's profile as a budding star.

Sixth Man of the Year: Bogdan Bogdanovic
Bogdan Bogdanovic seems undervalued in the Sixth Man of the Year conversation, nestled behind 17 others in the odds. Yet, his impressive record speaks volumes. Last year, he was a top-five contender and exhibited fierce determination during the Olympics.

With the Hawks trading away Dejounte Murray, Bogdanovic's role is poised to expand significantly. His consistency shines through, with scoring averages between 11.8 and 16.9 points per game over his career.

As a sharpshooter with a 38.4% three-point mark, he ensures offensive prowess both on and off the ball. Atlanta's performance may be mediocre, but Bogdanovic’s dynamic play could still capture voters' attention.

Most Improved Player: Trey Murphy III
Trey Murphy III stands as a prime candidate for the 2024-25 Most Improved Player award, with circumstances seemingly tipping in his favor. If Brandon Ingram's trade materializes, Murphy is positioned to step into a starting role for the New Orleans Pelicans, increasing his presence from last season’s 29.6 minutes per game.

Playing alongside the starting five, Murphy's threat as a perimeter shooter becomes more pronounced, particularly when defenses focus on Zion Williamson. With potential defensive lapses when opponents overcommit, Murphy could capitalize with his impressive range and attacking mindset.

His growth isn't limited to scoring; last season, he emerged as a robust defender, ranking in the 92nd percentile for defensive rebound rate, which speaks volumes about his impact.

Coach of the Year: Michael Malone
Michael Malone stands as a compelling dark-horse candidate for Coach of the Year, especially given the shifting dynamics in the Western Conference. With the Oklahoma City Thunder now the favorites, Malone's task of leading the Denver Nuggets to the top becomes a challenging endeavor, unlike last year when they were expected to dominate.

This season could showcase Malone's strategic prowess in navigating these changes, especially without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. While Nikola Jokic's brilliance will shine, the credit might extend to Malone for orchestrating success against the odds.

His legacy of consistent winning could further bolster his chances when voters look to recognize outstanding leadership.

Clutch Player Award: Paolo Banchero
Paolo Banchero isn’t just a candidate for the Clutch Player Award; he's Orlando Magic's offensive linchpin. While others have to share the spotlight, Banchero is Orlando's go-to guy in tight situations.

With no major competition for late-game shots, he is primed to take charge. His unique skill set - too agile for bigs and too strong for wings - combined with his knack for drawing fouls, positions him well for clutch scenarios.

Banchero's development trajectory hints at an even higher scoring average and another All-Star season, putting him firmly in contention for clutch honors.